Predict Wind models - which one?

[Vivaldi 55]

Hi All,

‘was wondering what most people use in the Predict Wind models - mine is usually on ECMWF, but do others find any particular model the best for the Hauraki Gulf?

[Bad Kitty 283]

Mmm, not sure how you're set up, mine opens with 6 models.

Then you can see how they compare. If they are all very similar, that's the weather you'll get.

If they are wildly different, it get's a bit more interesting! 

[Vivaldi 55]

Cheers - I was mainly using the wind map, but these tables look good. 

[K4309 353]

Predictwind has all the model validation data available.

The validation tab is under 'forecasts'.

This quantifies which model is most accurate against observations. This way you don't need to listen to old wives tails about which model is most accurate.

That, and what Bad Kitty says. For me, the whole point of PW is 6 models side by side, if they all agree, you have high confidence in the forecast, if they all say something different, role the dice. Every other site (Metservice, windy etc) only use one model. Each model is sometimes good, sometimes not depending on the situation etc. The trick is knowing which ones are good on any given day, hence viewing 6 on the same page and getting a handle on uncertainty very quickly.

[Black Panther 1,688]

Are you guys tlking racing or cruising?

For a trip on the coast i have a quick look at the forecast (up to 1 minute) and if there's nothing nasty i go sailing.