waikiore 437 Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 The long range predictions from Metvuw look a bit perky -though as always predicting weather for Auckland more than five days ahead involves a bit of crystal ball gazing. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
John B 108 Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 Something I read had TC in the text , so it's probably worth a weather eye out. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
B00B00 317 Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 Yeah been watching that too. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
harrytom 671 Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 predict wind shows nothing of concern till Tuesday 14th,yep soundsrright with border freeing up on the 15th. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ex Elly 217 Posted December 8, 2021 Share Posted December 8, 2021 VIDEO: Increasing risk of tropical cyclone impacting NZ next week The chance of an ex #TropicalCyclone impacting #NewZealand next week has increased. http://WeatherWatch.co.nz lifts confidence of some sort of impact from 30% to 60% based on modelling. BUT: Unclear if it will be a storm, or just a low. https://www.weatherwatch.co.nz/content/video-increasing-risk-of-tropical-cyclone-impacting-nz-next-week Quote Link to post Share on other sites
chariot 244 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Looks like we may get a bit of a blow this weekend. 3 to 4 m swell predicted for Mercury Bay. Just as well I got plenty of fish on Monday. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ex Elly 217 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Yep, Cyclone Cody headed our way. Could hit BOP Sunday night. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
chariot 244 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Metvuw shows it making direct hit on the North Island East coast. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
khayyam 83 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 The forecast track has been wobbling back and forth quite a lot. Exactly where and when remains to be seen, but I'd say some swell is a certainty! Was surprised to see how much there already is down at the beach this afternoon. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Fish 0 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Surprising swell at Stanmore Bay today already. Guess that is how the ancient people forecast storms - unexpected swell in otherwise calm weather. Metservice and Windy are predicting 3.5 m swell for Hauraki on Sunday. Further north it looks like 4+ m, which will be big for a coast that doesn't normally see swell. I wonder who can spell 'coastal erosion'? The problem with these storms is the wind always blows out the waves so the surfing is rubbish. Hoping to catch a few in the morning before the easterly kicks in. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Black Panther 1,670 Posted January 12, 2022 Share Posted January 12, 2022 Wait till it blows through and swings sw. Then head for Tawharanui Quote Link to post Share on other sites
chariot 244 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 5m for Mercury Bay on Sunday according to Met Service. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
khayyam 83 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Hauraki gulf: Northeast swell rising to 4 metres. Significant and hazardous waves expected, with the potential for hazardous rip currents. Mmm lovely. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ex TL systems 63 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I have seen rideable looking left hand waves running along the rock spit on the north east corner of Motuihe in similar conditions. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Norwester 3 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 I remember seeing Whale Rock breaking in a big swell decades ago. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
chariot 244 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Was in Samoa in 1990 when cyclone Val hit. Radio warnings were for phenomenal seas and try to preserve human life. Sort of puts a different perspective on things. Was glad to get home. Went away on the boat for a week or so when I got back. Had 25/35 kn on the way home. Had to tell the wife it was only a gentle breeze. That didn't go down too well. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
waikiore 437 Posted January 13, 2022 Author Share Posted January 13, 2022 Ex TL -it has been done, when at school last century we sailed a small cat out to Motuihe during a big storm carried boards over the island and surfed the reef then sailed home. No lifejackets to be seen but we were nervous and fully wetsuited. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Ex Machina 381 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 1 hour ago, waikiore said: Ex TL -it has been done, when at school last century we sailed a small cat out to Motuihe during a big storm carried boards over the island and surfed the reef then sailed home. No lifejackets to be seen but we were nervous and fully wetsuited. Used to surf motutapu in the 90s . The very long reef with a wee island on the end between administration bay and the boulder bay that is between rangi and motutap . Very long right handers and will be pretty darn good on Sunday and Monday with some south in the wind Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Ex Machina 381 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
khayyam 83 Posted January 13, 2022 Share Posted January 13, 2022 This is a case where I think there's a bit more detail on the electronic chart than the paper one (see the thread about paper charts). Compare with Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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